Sunday, 20 June 2021

Stock Review – PMETAL (8869) (PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD)

 

Bursa Malaysia - 8869
Bloomberg - PMAH:MK
Reuters -  PMET.KL
Yahoo - 8869.kl

Sector            : Industries Product & Service
Sub Sector    : Metals
Focus             : Aluminium

Company Profile

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad (PMETAL) is engaged in the manufacturing and trading of aluminium products. In 2020 PMETAL smelted 760,000 tonnes of aluminium from two smelting plants in Sarawak. Aside from that, PMETAL extruded 210,000 tonnes of aluminium product from two extrusion plants in Klang, Malaysia and Guangzhou, China. Last but not least PMETAL manufactured 120,000 tonnes of aluminium alloy ingots, 240,000 tonnes of aluminium billets and 200,000 tonnes of wire rods. 

PMETAL main raw materials are carbon anode and alumina. In January 2018 PMETAL acquired 20 % of Shandong Sunstone & PMB Carbon Ltd. Co which produce carbon anode. PMETAL also acquired 50 % equity in Japan Alumina Associates (Australia) Pty. Ltd in 2019 and 25 % of PT Bintan Alumina Indonesia in 2020. Both companies able to produce 80 % of alumina required by PMETAL.

On 30 March 2018 PMETAL acquired Leader Universal Aluminium Sdn Bhd which is aluminium wire rod producer for RM 96,000,000. With the increasing price of copper more electrical cable had changed to aluminium cable made from wire rods.

PMETAL had three operating segments:

1)Smelting and Extrusion

  • Manufacturing and trading smelting and extrusion products

  • 87% of 2020 revenue

  • Highest profit margin and return of asset segment

  • 22 % of segment revenue are from one major customer, Sumitomo Corporation Asia and Oceania Pte. Ltd.

2) Trading

  • Marketing of aluminium and other related products

  • 9.06 % of 2020 revenue

3) Refinery

  • Refinery of alumina

  • New segment in 2019 after acquisition of Japan Alumina Associates (Astralia) Pty. Ltd

  • 3.80 % of 2020 revenue

Income Statement


In thousands

31 Dec 2020

31 Dec 2019

31 Dec 2018

31 Dec 2017

31 Dec 2016

Revenue

7,476,320

8,804,570

9,170,120

8,176,130

6,649,450

Cost of Goods Sales

6,358,650

7,569,850

7,812,030

6,776,420

5,590,420

Earning Before Tax

654,650

631,220

870,450

808,750

674,830

Nett Profit

586,910

581,680

772,870

746,440

605,770

5 Years CAGR of Revenue

2.37 %

5 years CAGR of Nett Profit

-0.63 %


PMETAL revenue had increased from 2016 to 2018 however in 2019 there is a drop in revenue mainly due to lower aluminium price saw a decrease of profit margin from 13 % in 2018 to 9.96 % 2019. In 2020 recovery of aluminium price, profit margin had increased back to 12.01 % in 2020. Q1 2021 saw an increase of revenue as the recovery of aluminium price.


Balance Sheet



In Thousands

31 Dec 2020

31 Dec 2019

31 Dec 2018

31 Dec 2017

31 Dec 2016

Debt

5,148,410

3,861,000

3,302,220

2,821,740

2,381,540

Debt to Equity

1.29

1.05

0.92

1.38

1.53

Current Ratio

1.20

1.88

1.58

1.36

0.77

Cash / Current Asset

16.05 %

12.12 %

5.88 %

7.61 %

13.13 %


In 2020 PMETAL had an increase its Debt from RM 3,861,000,000 in 2019 to 5,148,410,000 in 2020 increase by 33.34 %. In August 2020, the company made its second issuance of the Sukuk Programme with nominal value RM 700,000,000. PMETAL has a current ratio higher than 1.0. In 2020 PMETAL cash / current assets had increased from 12.12 % in 2019 to 16.05 % in 2020.


Cash Flow


In Thousands

31 Dec 2020

31 Dec 2019

31 Dec 2018

31 Dec 2017

31 Dec 2016

Cash Flow from Operation

1,387,760

1,459,440

1,109,860

393,970

936,400

Cash Flow from Investing

-2,033,690

-1,187,680

-451,630

-168,760

-451,260

Cash Flow from Financing

879,510

-101,630

-691,810

-318,230

-410,210

Free Cash Flow

237,000

728,130

817,150

207,250

511,650

5 years CAGR of Cash Flow from Operation

8.19 %

5 years CAGR of Free Cash Flow

-14.27


PMETAL had positive cash flow from financing in 2020 due to drawdown of multiple loans from banks. Aside from that in 2019 and 2020, PMETAL had made large capital investments by acquired companies. Hence the free cash flow for the year 2020 had reduced significantly.


Per Share Analysis



31 Dec 2020

31 Dec 2019

31 Dec 2018

31 Dec 2017

31 Dec 2016

Share Outstanding 

8,076,220,000

8,076,220,000

7,901,690,000

7,665,560,000

7,395,780,000

Adjusted Price 31 Dec

4.195

2.325

2.415

2.695

0.795

BV/Share

0.49

0.45

0.40

0.29

0.30

P/E

57.72

32.28

24.69

27.68

9.71

5 years CAGR of Price 

39.47


PMETAL price had adjusted with the bonus issue in April 2021. PMETAL had a high P/E value and increased over the year. PMETAL 5 years CAGR of price is 39.47 % despite the CAGR of free cash flow is -14.27 %.



Dividend



31 Dec 2020

31 Dec 2019

31 Dec 2018

31 Dec 2017

31 Dec 2016

Adjusted Dividend Per Share

0.02125

0.025

0.0325

0.03

0.02

Dividend Payout

29.24 %

34.71 %

33.23 %

30.81 %

24.42 %

Dividend Yield

0.51 %

1.08 %

1.35 %

1.11 %

2.52 %

10 year Malaysia Government Bond

2.68 %

3.33 %

4.01 %

3.94 %

4.24 %


PCHEM had low dividend yield as compared to 10 year Malaysia Government Bond


Research Report


Investment House

Date

Target Price

HONG LEONG INVESTMENT BANK

28 MAY 2021

RM 7.10

KENAGA INVESTMENT BANK BHD

28 MAY 2021

RM 6.50

Average Price Target


RM 6.80



Peer Analysis




PMETAL

ALCOM

ARANK

LBALUM

PA

P/E

68.89

9.07

13.05

12.00

25.98

Dividend Yield

0.45 %

0 %

3.28 %

1.06 %

1.18 %


PMETAL had high P/E and low dividend yield compare to other peers.



Technical Analysis


PMETAL daily chart show retrenchment from upward trend with support level at RM 4 and resistance level at 5.3.



Weekly chart show downward trend with support at RM 4.00 and resistance at RM 5.3.


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